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FA Cup
FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Parkside Stadium

Aveley
1 - 2
Royston

FT(HT: 0-0)
Ogunrinde (78')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Aveley and Royston Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aveley

All competitions
Last Game: Chesham 3-2 Aveley
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South

Royston Town

All competitions
Last Game: Bedford 0-3 Royston
Monday, September 2 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Royston Town had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Royston Town win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
AveleyDrawRoyston Town
43.88% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 23.54% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 32.59% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.09% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.39% (0.048999999999999 0.05)39.6% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.05% (0.050000000000004 0.05)61.95% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6% (0.040999999999997 0.04)18.4% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.45% (0.064 0.06)49.54% (-0.061 -0.06)
Royston Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.88% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)58.12% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 43.88%
    Royston Town 32.59%
    Draw 23.53%
AveleyDrawRoyston Town
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 43.88%
1-1 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.59%

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