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Bournemouth logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Mar 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Wolves logo

Bournemouth
1 - 1
Wolves

Evanilson (30')
Huijsen (62'), Scott (79'), Kluivert (106'), Hill (113'), Kerkez (120+1')
FT
(aet)
Cunha (60')
Gomes (32'), Semedo (64'), Strand Larsen (74'), Ait-Nouri (90+5'), Johnstone (130')
Cunha (120')
Bournemouth win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Bournemouth and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Bournemouth
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Fulham
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League

We say: Bournemouth 2-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers (a.e.t, Bournemouth to win on penalties)

Assuming Bournemouth do not go down to 10 early doors as was the case last weekend, we ought to be in for a much different game on Saturday, one in which Wolves should feel that a diminished Cherries defence is there for the taking. However, Iraola's men can bite back just as hard in the final third, and it could very well take the lottery of penalties to settle this scrap; the hosts have our vote to make home advantage count in that scenario to progress to the last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bournemouth win with a probability of 55.26%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers has a probability of 23.22% and a draw has a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.85%) and 1-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win is 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.67%).

Result
BournemouthDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
55.26% (-0.826 -0.83) 21.52% (0.259 0.26) 23.22% (0.567 0.57)
Both teams to score 61.5% (-0.171 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.01% (-0.557 -0.56)36.99% (0.558 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.82% (-0.607 -0.61)59.18% (0.607 0.61)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.6% (-0.431 -0.43)13.4% (0.433 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.67% (-0.876 -0.88)40.33% (0.877 0.88)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.15599999999999 0.16)28.99% (-0.155 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12% (0.194 0.19)64.88% (-0.194 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 55.26%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 23.22%
    Draw 21.52%
BournemouthDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.85% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.81% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 55.26%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.105 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.119 0.12)
0-1 @ 4.81% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.98% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 23.22%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Wolves

Bournemouth
Draw
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Bournemouth
75.3%
Draw
11.8%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
12.9%
85
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 26
Bournemouth
0-1
Wolves

Kerkez (22'), Scott (85'), Arrizabalaga (90+7')
Zabarnyi (31')
Cunha (36')
Bueno (4'), Gomes (44'), Doherty (90+1')
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 13
Wolves
2-4
Bournemouth
Strand Larsen (5', 69')
Semedo (2'), Dawson (53'), Sa (73'), Lemina (76'), Strand Larsen (90+4')
Kluivert (3' pen., 18', 74'), Kerkez (8')
Zabarnyi (45')
Apr 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Wolves
0-1
Bournemouth

Semedo (23'), Ait-Nouri (44'), Doherty (61'), Cunha (69')
Semenyo (37')
Unal (90+2')
Kerkez (79')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bournemouth
1-2
Wolves
Solanke (17')
Zabarnyi (34'), Scott (45+2')
Cook (54')
Cunha (47'), Kalajdzic (88')
Cunha (42'), Kilman (45+3'), Hee-chan (54'), Traore (83'), Neto (89'), Sarabia (90+1')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool32237274314376
2Arsenal321712357273063
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest32176951381357
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle31175956401656
5Manchester CityMan City32167962422055
6Chelsea32159856391754
7Aston Villa3215984946354
8Fulham3113994742548
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32121285149248
10Bournemouth311291051401145
11Brentford32127135248443
12Crystal Palace311110104140143
13Everton32814103438-438
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd32108143845-738
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs321141760491137
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves32105174761-1435
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3298153654-1835
18Ipswich TownIpswich3249193367-3421
19Leicester CityLeicester3246222772-4518
20Southampton3224262377-5410


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