Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.