Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carshalton Athletic win with a probability of 56.65%. A win for Melksham Town had a probability of 21.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carshalton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Melksham Town win was 1-2 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carshalton Athletic would win this match.