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FA Cup
Crawley Town
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Lincoln City

Crawley
3 - 4
Lincoln

Roles (10'), Showunmi (13'), Kelley (82')
John-Jules (22')
FT(HT: 2-2)
O'Connor (19'), Makama (39'), Ring (47'), Moylan (48')
Wickens (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Crawley Town and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Crawley 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One

Lincoln City

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-0 Lincoln City

 This game is a tough one to call, but Lincoln have already lost here this season in the league and are out of form heading into the tie. Crawley have shown signs of improvement under Elliot and will be feeling positive after their recent 1-0 win against Rotherham, therefore we are picking them to win this game by the same score. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawLincoln City
26.02% (0.143 0.14) 23.6% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 50.37% (-0.124 -0.12)
Both teams to score 57.35% (0.196 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.12% (0.199 0.2)43.88% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.73% (0.193 0.19)66.27% (-0.19 -0.19)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52% (0.217 0.22)30.48% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (0.255 0.25)66.69% (-0.252 -0.25)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49% (0.028000000000006 0.03)17.5% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.99% (0.048999999999999 0.05)48.01% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 26.02%
    Lincoln City 50.37%
    Draw 23.59%
Crawley TownDrawLincoln City
2-1 @ 6.56% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.77% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.49% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 26.02%
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.59%
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.3% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 8.1% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.59%
0-3 @ 4.71% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.44% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-4 @ 2.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 50.37%

How you voted: Crawley vs Lincoln

Crawley Town
38.9%
Lincoln City
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Crawley
3-0
Lincoln
Swan (46'), Darcy (73'), Hepburn-Murphy (90+5')
Ibrahim (43'), Holohan (89')

McGrandles (45+2'), O'Connor (81'), Roughan (87')
> Preview
Mar 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Crawley
0-3
Lincoln

Dallison (39')
Andrade (37'), McCartan (76'), Bolger (85')
Sep 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 7
Lincoln
0-1
Crawley

Bostwick (75')
Frecklington (55')
Bostwick (45' og.)
N'Gala (12'), Bulman (22'), Maguire (46'), Connolly (68'), Palmer (90')
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Crawley
3-1
Lincoln
Smith (15'), Payne (68' pen.), Connolly (72')
Payne (48'), Roberts (68'), Yorwerth (85'), Randall (86')
Green (52')
Green (18'), Waterfall (45'), Wharton (67'), Woodyard (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Lincoln
0-0
Crawley
Woodyard (41'), Rhead (67')
Yorwerth (51'), Randall (84')
rhs 2.0
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