Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.