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League One | Gameweek 11
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Lincoln City

Wrexham
1 - 0
Lincoln

Darikwa (67' og.)
Brunt (11')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wrexham and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-3 Wycombe
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Lincoln City

Both teams have made strong starts to the season as they battle for promotion, but with Wrexham unbeaten in their first eight home matches and the visitors without a win in their last three league fixtures, we believe the hosts will emerge victorious here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawLincoln City
40.88% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03) 28.1%31.02% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 46.64% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.71% (0.012 0.01)59.28% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.31% (0.010000000000002 0.01)79.69% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)28.47% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.76% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)64.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21% (0.031999999999996 0.03)34.79% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.47% (0.032 0.03)71.52% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 40.88%
    Lincoln City 31.01%
    Draw 28.09%
WrexhamDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 12.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 40.88%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.91% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 31.01%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Lincoln

Wrexham
63.5%
Draw
15.4%
Lincoln City
21.2%
52
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2016 7.45pm
Lincoln
1-0
Wrexham
Hawkridge (15')
Raggett (29')

Edwards (10'), Coddington (15'), Bencherif (15'), McDonagh (57'), Tilt (90')
Oct 4, 2016 7.45pm
Wrexham
1-2
Lincoln
Bencherif (82')
Newton (22'), Harvey (55'), Harrad (59'), Tilt (90')
Waterfall (31'), Anderson (45')
Power (87')
Jan 23, 2016 3pm
Wrexham
3-1
Lincoln
York (36'), Jennings (48'), Heslop (86')
Rhead (14' pen.)
Waterfall (53'), Power (57'), Stanley (67')
Sep 5, 2015 3pm
Mar 21, 2015 3pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Reading199463028231
7Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
8Barnsley208662926330
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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