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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
St James Park
Lincoln City

Exeter
0 - 0
Lincoln


Woods (66'), Sweeney (72')
Woods (90')
FT

McGrandles (13'), House (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 5-0 Man City U21s
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Exeter City 0-0 Lincoln City

Exeter are the masters of pragmatism in League One, being near the bottom of the scoring charts but fighting for a playoff spot, with eight clean sheets from 13 league games so far. However, Lincoln are very strong on the road, with just one league defeat away from home this season, meaning this encounter should be extremely tight and tough to call. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawLincoln City
39.86% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 26.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 33.31% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.12% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.05% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)53.94% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.02 -0.02)75.39% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)26.51% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)61.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (-0.032999999999987 -0.03)30.43% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)66.64% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 39.86%
    Lincoln City 33.31%
    Draw 26.82%
Exeter CityDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 39.86%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.31%

How you voted: Exeter vs Lincoln

Exeter City
15.2%
Draw
32.6%
Lincoln City
52.2%
46
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Lincoln
1-0
Exeter
Taylor (67')
Sorensen (42')

Sweeney (17'), Harris (56'), Jules (72')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Exeter
1-1
Lincoln
Trevitt (81')
Scott (53'), Hartridge (77'), Harper (78'), Sinisalo (89')
Smith (20')
Hamilton (39'), Adelakun (43'), Erhahon (78'), O'Connor (89')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Exeter
2-1
Lincoln
Nombe (33', 73')
O'Connor (19')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Hopper (49')
Sorensen (90+2')
Nombe (14')
Sweeney (32'), Dieng (58')
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Akinde (96')
Bostwick (53'), Bolger (87'), Rhead (90')
Jay (22')
Pym (92')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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