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League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
St James Park
Lincoln City

Exeter
0 - 0
Lincoln


Woods (66'), Sweeney (72')
Woods (90')
FT

McGrandles (13'), House (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One

Lincoln City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Lincoln 5-0 Man City U21s
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Exeter City 0-0 Lincoln City

 Exeter are the masters of pragmatism in League One, being near the bottom of the scoring charts but fighting for a playoff spot, with eight clean sheets from 13 league games so far. However, Lincoln are very strong on the road, with just one league defeat away from home this season, meaning this encounter should be extremely tight and tough to call. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawLincoln City
39.86% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 26.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 33.31% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.12% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.05% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)53.94% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.02 -0.02)75.39% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)26.51% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)61.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (-0.032999999999987 -0.03)30.43% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)66.64% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 39.86%
    Lincoln City 33.31%
    Draw 26.82%
Exeter CityDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 39.86%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.31%

How you voted: Exeter vs Lincoln

Exeter City
15.2%
Draw
32.6%
Lincoln City
52.2%
46
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Lincoln
1-0
Exeter
Taylor (67')
Sorensen (42')

Sweeney (17'), Harris (56'), Jules (72')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Exeter
1-1
Lincoln
Trevitt (81')
Scott (53'), Hartridge (77'), Harper (78'), Sinisalo (89')
Smith (20')
Hamilton (39'), Adelakun (43'), Erhahon (78'), O'Connor (89')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Exeter
2-1
Lincoln
Nombe (33', 73')
O'Connor (19')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Hopper (49')
Sorensen (90+2')
Nombe (14')
Sweeney (32'), Dieng (58')
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Akinde (96')
Bostwick (53'), Bolger (87'), Rhead (90')
Jay (22')
Pym (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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