MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 04:30:51| >> :600:354390:354390:
Crystal Palace logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Selhurst Park
Southampton logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 2
Southampton

Edouard (14')
Ward (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ward-Prowse (37'), Armstrong (68')
Perraud (59'), Caleta-Car (67'), Ward-Prowse (75'), Walker-Peters (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Crystal Palace and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-4 Spurs
Wednesday, January 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.30pm in Premier League

We said: Crystal Palace 2-1 Southampton

It is always difficult to know what to expect when two Premier League sides meet in the early rounds of the FA Cup, as both managers will make changes to their sides. Southampton are really difficult to back at the moment due to their struggles, though, so we have had to side with the home team on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawSouthampton
43.06% (1.695 1.7) 25.61% (-0.462 -0.46) 31.33% (-1.235 -1.24)
Both teams to score 54.33% (1.037 1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.48% (1.552 1.55)49.52% (-1.552 -1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.45% (1.377 1.38)71.55% (-1.378 -1.38)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.1% (1.521 1.52)22.9% (-1.521 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.35% (2.192 2.19)56.65% (-2.192 -2.19)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)29.54% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.43% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)65.57% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 43.06%
    Southampton 31.33%
    Draw 25.6%
Crystal PalaceDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 9.97% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.222 0.22)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.296 0.3)
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.248 0.25)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.178 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.175 0.18)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.145 0.15)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.06%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.438 -0.44)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.129 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.25% (-0.546 -0.55)
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.155 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.339 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 31.33%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Southampton

Crystal Palace
72.9%
Draw
12.9%
Southampton
14.1%
85
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Southampton
1-2
Crystal Palace
Romeu (9')
Bednarek (16')
Eze (60'), Zaha (90+2')
Mateta (16'), McArthur (38'), Ward (45+2')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Crystal Palace
2-2
Southampton
Zaha (2'), Ayew (65')
Guehi (25'), Tomkins (73')
Ward-Prowse (32'), Broja (36')
Livramento (67'), Salisu (84'), Lyanco (88'), Caballero (90+6')
May 11, 2021 8.15pm
Southampton
3-1
Crystal Palace
Ings (19', 75'), Adams (48')
Bednarek (44'), Vestergaard (54')
Benteke (2')
Ayew (45+1'), Kouyate (77'), Zaha (90+2')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!