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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
Southampton logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 0
Southampton

Edouard (38')
Zaha (31'), Edouard (61'), Mitchell (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lyanco (31'), Salisu (40'), Elyounoussi (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions
Last Game: Everton 3-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Premier League

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Arsenal
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Crystal Palace 2-1 Southampton

 Given Palace's prowess at Selhurst Park and Southampton's struggles on the road, a home win seems the likeliest outcome on Saturday. A certain amount of frustration carried over from their loss last week should see the hosts start on the front foot, with unstinting support from the stands helping them over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crystal Palace in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crystal Palace.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawSouthampton
46.1% (-0.117 -0.12) 26.2% (0.040000000000003 0.04) 27.7% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.43% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)53.63% (0.116 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87% (-0.096 -0.1)75.13% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (-0.10199999999999 -0.1)23.22% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.87% (-0.151 -0.15)57.13% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68% (0.0019999999999953 0)34.32% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 46.09%
    Southampton 27.7%
    Draw 26.2%
Crystal PalaceDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 11.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.49% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 46.09%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.52% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 27.7%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Southampton

Crystal Palace
69.0%
Draw
20.3%
Southampton
10.8%
158
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Southampton
1-2
Crystal Palace
Romeu (9')
Bednarek (16')
Eze (60'), Zaha (90+2')
Mateta (16'), McArthur (38'), Ward (45+2')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Crystal Palace
2-2
Southampton
Zaha (2'), Ayew (65')
Guehi (25'), Tomkins (73')
Ward-Prowse (32'), Broja (36')
Livramento (67'), Salisu (84'), Lyanco (88'), Caballero (90+6')
May 11, 2021 8.15pm
Southampton
3-1
Crystal Palace
Ings (19', 75'), Adams (48')
Bednarek (44'), Vestergaard (54')
Benteke (2')
Ayew (45+1'), Kouyate (77'), Zaha (90+2')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-0
Southampton
Zaha (13')
Schlupp (41'), McCarthy (58')

Walker-Peters (51')
Jan 21, 2020 7.30pm
Crystal Palace
0-2
Southampton
> Match Report
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Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Everton236892328-526
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369
> Premier League Full Table


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