FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 27, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Stonebridge Road
Ebbsfleet0 - 1Fleetwood
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
We said: Ebbsfleet 1-1 Fleetwood Town
Given Ebbsleet's impressive league form so far this season, we can envisage them giving Fleetwood a real run for their money on Sunday. As such, despite there being three divisions between these sides, we think the visitors may have to bring their opponents back to Highbury Stadium for a replay. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
34.46% ( 0.22) | 23.79% ( 0.09) | 41.75% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 61.81% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.76% ( -0.4) | 40.24% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.39% ( -0.41) | 62.61% ( 0.41) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( -0.06) | 23.16% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.97% ( -0.09) | 57.03% ( 0.09) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.43% ( -0.3) | 19.57% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.51% ( -0.5) | 51.49% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet 34.46%
Fleetwood Town 41.75%
Draw 23.78%
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.46% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.21% Total : 41.75% |
How you voted: Ebbsfleet vs Fleetwood
Ebbsfleet
47.1%Draw
17.6%Fleetwood Town
35.3%17
Form Guide
