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Championship header 2

League One
Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Bolton logo

Fleetwood
1 - 2
Bolton

Mendes Gomes (16')
Rooney (49'), Andrew (53'), Earl (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bradley (85'), Afolayan (90+5')
Morley (45'), Bradley (78'), Afolayan (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

 Even having failed to win either of their last two fixtures, Bolton are the marginal favourites to prevail on Saturday. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore the amount of draws that Fleetwood record, leading us to predict another competitive share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawBolton Wanderers
30.05% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 26.75% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 43.2% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.16% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.37% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)54.63% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.03% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)75.97% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94% (-0.104 -0.1)33.06% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.35% (-0.117 -0.12)69.65% (0.121 0.12)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (0.0020000000000095 0)25.08% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.76% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 30.05%
    Bolton Wanderers 43.19%
    Draw 26.75%
Fleetwood TownDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.05%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.29% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.93% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 43.19%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Bolton

Fleetwood Town
32.9%
Draw
35.7%
Bolton Wanderers
31.4%
70
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Bolton
4-2
Fleetwood
Charles (37', 86'), John (53'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+6')
Baggley (17'), Garner (79')
Boyle (42'), Garner (82'), Pilkington (90+2')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Fleetwood
3-0
Bolton
Garner (6'), Biggins (77', 79')
Hayes (26'), McLaughlin (35')

Santos (73')
Nov 30, 2021 7pm
Bolton
1-0
Fleetwood
Lee (34')

Biggins (54'), Clark (56'), Teale (63')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
Fleetwood
P-P
Bolton
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Bolton
2-1
Fleetwood
O'Grady (28'), Murphy (33')
Wright (4'), Murphy (11')
Morris (85')
Dempsey (26'), Coyle (30'), Madden (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Steelers
@
Ravens
6pm
Broncos
@
Bills
9.30pm
Packers
@
Eagles
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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