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Championship header 2

League One
Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Bolton logo

Fleetwood
1 - 2
Bolton

Mendes Gomes (16')
Rooney (49'), Andrew (53'), Earl (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bradley (85'), Afolayan (90+5')
Morley (45'), Bradley (78'), Afolayan (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

 Even having failed to win either of their last two fixtures, Bolton are the marginal favourites to prevail on Saturday. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore the amount of draws that Fleetwood record, leading us to predict another competitive share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawBolton Wanderers
30.05% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 26.75% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 43.2% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.16% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.37% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)54.63% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.03% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)75.97% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94% (-0.104 -0.1)33.06% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.35% (-0.117 -0.12)69.65% (0.121 0.12)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (0.0020000000000095 0)25.08% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.76% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 30.05%
    Bolton Wanderers 43.19%
    Draw 26.75%
Fleetwood TownDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.05%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.29% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.93% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 43.19%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Bolton

Fleetwood Town
32.9%
Draw
35.7%
Bolton Wanderers
31.4%
70
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Bolton
4-2
Fleetwood
Charles (37', 86'), John (53'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+6')
Baggley (17'), Garner (79')
Boyle (42'), Garner (82'), Pilkington (90+2')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Fleetwood
3-0
Bolton
Garner (6'), Biggins (77', 79')
Hayes (26'), McLaughlin (35')

Santos (73')
Nov 30, 2021 7pm
Bolton
1-0
Fleetwood
Lee (34')

Biggins (54'), Clark (56'), Teale (63')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
Fleetwood
P-P
Bolton
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Bolton
2-1
Fleetwood
O'Grady (28'), Murphy (33')
Wright (4'), Murphy (11')
Morris (85')
Dempsey (26'), Coyle (30'), Madden (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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