MX23RW : Wednesday, January 15 13:57:36| >> :120:8853:8853:
Everton logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Goodison Park
Brentford logo

Everton
4 - 1
Brentford

Mina (31'), Richarlison (48'), Holgate (62'), Townsend (90+1')
Gomes (24'), Gordon (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Toney (54' pen.)
Roerslev (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Everton and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Everton 2-1 Brentford

Even without Alli or Van de Beek pulling the strings from midfield, the new manager bounce should be in full effect for Everton as Lampard seeks to endear himself to the Goodison Park faithful right away. Brentford's worrying losing streak before the international break, a lengthy injury list and friction over Toney's comments could all contribute to their downfall here, and we expect the Toffees to avenge their league defeat to Frank's side by booking their spot in round five. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.

Result
EvertonDrawBrentford
37.98%26.39%35.63%
Both teams to score 52.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.11%51.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.36%73.64%
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39%26.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17%61.83%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03%27.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.39%63.61%
Score Analysis
    Everton 37.98%
    Brentford 35.63%
    Draw 26.39%
EvertonDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 9.85%
2-1 @ 8.31%
2-0 @ 6.52%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 37.98%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.44%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 9.48%
1-2 @ 8%
0-2 @ 6.04%
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 35.63%

How you voted: Everton vs Brentford

Everton
78.6%
Draw
9.7%
Brentford
11.7%
103
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 13
Brentford
1-0
Everton
Toney (24' pen.)
Onyeka (43'), Canos (51'), Jansson (66'), Mbeumo (90+2')

Townsend (38'), Rondon (66'), Godfrey (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
3Arsenal20117239182140
4Chelsea21107441261537
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Bournemouth219753225734
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham217953230230
10Brentford218494037328
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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