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Exeter City
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Barnet

Exeter
vs.
Barnet

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Exeter City and Barnet, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-3 Exeter
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barnet 2-1 Rochdale
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League

We say: Exeter City 3-1 Barnet

Exeter competes two divisions higher than their visitors, and while Barnet are likely to give the hosts a difficult test, we expect the hosts to eventually secure the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Exeter City win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Barnet has a probability of 29.03% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Barnet win is 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.27%).

Result
Exeter CityDrawBarnet
46.83% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.13% (0.0019999999999989 0) 29.03% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 58% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.48%66.52% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)18.99% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)50.54% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59% (0.010999999999996 0.01)28.4% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 46.83%
    Barnet 29.03%
    Draw 24.13%
Exeter CityDrawBarnet
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.96% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 46.83%
1-1 @ 11.27%
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.13%
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 29.03%

Who will win Saturday's FA Cup clash between Exeter and Barnet?

Exeter City
Draw
Barnet
Exeter City
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Barnet
0.0%
4
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Exeter
2-1
Barnet
Wilson (30'), Taylor (90')
Moxey (79')
Watson (69')
Sep 12, 2017 8pm
Barnet
1-2
Exeter
Coulthirst (48')
Ross (95')
Reid (77'), Stockley (94')
Tillson (80'), Boateng (89')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
Barnet
1-4
Exeter
Akinde (11')
Akinde (18'), Watson (70'), Taylor (77')
Taylor (43'), Holmes (50'), Wheeler (56'), Reid (81' pen.)
Taylor (67')
Mar 25, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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