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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Exeter City

Shrewsbury
0 - 2
Exeter

FT(HT: 0-1)
Doyle (9'), Magennis (65')
Sweeney (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 3-5 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 0-1 Exeter City

Shrewsbury were involved in a goal-laden contest at Crawley on the weekend, but we do not expect that to become a theme for the struggling Shrews. Exeter have been defensively solid over recent weeks and will be confident of recording another clean sheet and three points in Shropshire on Thursday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawExeter City
21.69% (0.349 0.35) 23.87% (0.412 0.41) 54.44% (-0.761 -0.76)
Both teams to score 51.48% (-0.806 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72% (-1.311 -1.31)49.27% (1.31 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (-1.194 -1.19)71.33% (1.193 1.19)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.78% (-0.397 -0.4)37.22% (0.396 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99% (-0.395 -0.4)74% (0.39400000000001 0.39)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (-0.761 -0.76)17.99% (0.76 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.14% (-1.322 -1.32)48.85% (1.321 1.32)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 21.69%
    Exeter City 54.43%
    Draw 23.87%
Shrewsbury TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 6.62% (0.279 0.28)
2-1 @ 5.61% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.27% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.85% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 21.69%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.351 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 11.48% (0.33 0.33)
0-2 @ 9.85% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 5.63% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 5.57% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2.42% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 54.43%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Exeter

Shrewsbury Town
22.4%
Draw
15.9%
Exeter City
61.7%
107
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Shrewsbury
0-3
Exeter

Sraha (5'), Bayliss (42'), Benning (42')
Shipley (6')
Aimson (33'), Harris (41'), Aitchison (45+5')
Harper (27'), Cole (29'), Eisa (90+3')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
0-0
Shrewsbury
Sweeney (50'), Cole (69')
Shipley (18')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Shrewsbury
3-2
Exeter
Pennington (22'), Bayliss (34'), Dunkley (90+3')
Sweeney (17'), Grounds (20')
Apr 11, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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