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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Cambridge United

Exeter
1 - 0
Cambridge

Woods (23')
Yfeko (45+2'), Woods (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Loft (19'), Monk (20'), Andrew (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-0 Cambridge United

Neither side scores many goals, but Exeter are full of confidence at the moment - and that is in short supply as far as Cambridge are concerned. A home win is by far the most likely outcome, with the visitors left to contemplate at least another two weeks in last place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
60.58% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.34% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 17.09% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 48.61% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (0.11199999999999 0.11)49.22% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (0.102 0.1)71.28% (-0.101 -0.1)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (0.046999999999997 0.05)15.81% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.03% (0.084000000000003 0.08)44.97% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.74% (0.071000000000005 0.07)42.26% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.34% (0.062000000000001 0.06)78.66% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 60.57%
    Cambridge United 17.09%
    Draw 22.33%
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 12.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.22% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 60.57%
1-1 @ 10.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 22.33%
0-1 @ 5.76% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.57% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.09%

How you voted: Exeter vs Cambridge

Exeter City
93.8%
Draw
6.3%
Cambridge United
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Exeter
0-0
Cambridge
Purrington (39'), Niskanen (45+1')
Andrew (27'), Taylor (31'), Digby (50'), Kachunga (56')
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Cambridge
2-0
Exeter
Ahadme (17' pen.), Kachunga (84')

Carroll (20'), Cole (45+2')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Exeter
2-0
Cambridge
Collins (18'), McDonald (53')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
Smith (60'), Digby (88')
Digby (29'), Dunk (44'), Lankester (90+6')
Brown (39')
Sweeney (45+1'), Coley (86')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
May (23'), Knibbs (88')
Okedina (9')
Nombe (10' pen.)
Caprice (60'), Ray (82'), Dawson (88'), Collins (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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