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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Reading had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Reading |
49.7% ( 0.84) | 24.37% ( -0.12) | 25.93% ( -0.72) |
Both teams to score 54.71% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.67% ( -0.03) | 47.33% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.45% ( -0.03) | 69.55% ( 0.02) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.92% ( 0.33) | 19.08% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.31% ( 0.54) | 50.69% ( -0.55) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.61% ( -0.59) | 32.38% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.1% ( -0.67) | 68.9% ( 0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.7% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.58% Total : 25.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 57 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 55 |
3 | Wrexham | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 48 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | Barnsley | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 42 |
7 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 41 |
8 | Reading | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 41 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 40 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 37 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 34 |
15 | Stevenage | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 34 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 33 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 32 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
21 | Burton Albion | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 21 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 21 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 21 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 20 |
> League One Full Table |