Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hednesford Town win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Shifnal Town FC had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hednesford Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Shifnal Town FC win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hednesford Town would win this match.