Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worcester Raiders win with a probability of 55.78%. A win for Hednesford Town had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worcester Raiders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.8%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Hednesford Town win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
