MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 00:19:22| >> :600:597350:597350:
Nottingham Forest logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 6, 2022 at 4pm UK
The City Ground
Leicester logo

Nott'm Forest
4 - 1
Leicester

Zinckernagel (23'), Johnson (24'), Worrall (32'), Spence (61')
Garner (65')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Iheanacho (40')
Ndidi (59'), Maddison (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Nottingham Forest and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Nottingham Forest 1-2 Leicester City

Both clubs will be eager to claim local bragging rights, leading us to predict a high-octane showdown between two teams who have ambitions to improve during the second half of the campaign. Forest should more than match their higher-league neighbours, but we feel that Leicester could edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawLeicester City
32.03%24.94%43.04%
Both teams to score 56.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.66%46.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.37%68.63%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49%27.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.99%63.02%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.45%21.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.38%54.63%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 32.03%
    Leicester City 43.04%
    Draw 24.94%
Nottingham ForestDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 7.65%
2-1 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 4.94%
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.5%
3-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 32.03%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 5.93%
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 9.1%
1-2 @ 9.01%
0-2 @ 6.98%
1-3 @ 4.61%
0-3 @ 3.57%
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-4 @ 1.77%
0-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43.04%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Leicester

Nottingham Forest
19.4%
Draw
17.1%
Leicester City
63.6%
129
Head to Head
May 4, 2013 12.45pm
Nott'm Forest
2-3
Leicester
Ward (50'), Cox (3')
Lansbury (49')
King (43'), James (24'), Knockaert (90')
Morgan (39'), Knockaert (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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