MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:04:19| >> :600:387647:387647:
Shrewsbury Town
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Colchester United

Shrewsbury
3 - 2
Colchester

Udoh (22'), Shipley (56'), Hall (79' og.)
Shipley (11'), Bayliss (24'), Winchester (71'), Thorpe (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGeehan (10'), Mitchell (86')
Greenidge (28'), Dallison (63'), Read (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Shrewsbury Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-0 Colchester United

Although Shrewsbury have suffered consecutive away defeats, they have performed well in recent games at New Meadow, and we think that they will do enough in Saturday's contest to get the win and extend their unbeaten home run to five games across all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawColchester United
38.88%26.22%34.9%
Both teams to score 53.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.79%51.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.95%73.05%
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21%25.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27%60.73%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91%28.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.25%63.75%
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 38.88%
    Colchester United 34.9%
    Draw 26.21%
Shrewsbury TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 9.82%
2-1 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 6.65%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 38.88%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.24%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.2%
1-2 @ 7.91%
0-2 @ 5.84%
1-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.9%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Colchester

Shrewsbury Town
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Colchester United
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2016 3pm
Colchester
0-0
Shrewsbury
Massey (54')
Akpa-Akpro (45'), Grimmer (83')
Oct 10, 2015 3pm
Shrewsbury
4-2
Colchester
Barnett (46', 59'), Kaikai (72', 81')
Collins (27')
Ellis (37' og.), Eastman (39')
Kent (70'), Garvan (87'), Sordell (89')
Mar 18, 2014 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2013 7.45pm
Shrewsbury
1-1
Colchester
Santamaria Cristian (6')
Bean (45')
Okuonghae (77'), Wilson (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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