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FA Cup
Notts County
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Crawley Town

Notts County
3 - 2
Crawley

Crowley (13'), McGoldrick (58'), Langstaff (76')
O'Brien (57'), Nemane (61'), Baldwin (70'), Tipton (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Orsi (3', 66')
Kelly (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Notts County and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 0-2 Wrexham
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Forest Green 2-1 Crawley
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-0 Crawley Town

 Notts County will be desperate to return to winning ways after a hard-to-take loss against rivals Wrexham last time out, and we can see the Magpies progressing into the second round quite comfortably. Crawley are enduring a rocky run of form of late and are likely to exit this year's FA Cup at the first hurdle on Saturday afternoon at Meadow Lane. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.01%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawCrawley Town
48.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 21.77%29.91% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 67.23% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.27% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.12% (0.007000000000005 0.01)53.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)13.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)41.4%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.11% (0.0049999999999955 0)21.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)55.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 48.31%
    Crawley Town 29.91%
    Draw 21.77%
Notts CountyDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 6.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.91%
3-2 @ 4.49%
3-0 @ 3.89%
4-1 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 1.92%
5-1 @ 1.15%
4-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 48.31%
1-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 6.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 2.27%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 21.77%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-1 @ 4.64%
0-2 @ 3.52%
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.46%
0-3 @ 1.78%
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 29.91%

How you voted: Notts County vs Crawley

Notts County
100%
Draw
0.0%
Crawley Town
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Crawley
1-1
Notts County
Nathaniel-George (19')
Mackail-Smith (8')
Milsom (45')
Barclay (54')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Notts County
3-1
Crawley
Hemmings (9'), Stead (33'), Thomas (87')
Ward (89')
Milsom (66')
Poleon (90')
Payne (61'), Vincelot (85'), Palmer (90')
Jan 23, 2018 7.45pm
Notts County
1-2
Crawley
Stead (57' pen.)
Virtue-Thick (28'), Brisley (45'), Hewitt (95')
Virtue-Thick (90'), Fitzsimons (90')
Smith (25'), Payne (90' pen.)
Verheydt (37'), Lelan (49')
Sep 16, 2017 3pm
Crawley
0-1
Notts County

Yorwerth (79')
Grant (55')
Forte (88')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Notts County
2-1
Crawley
Audel (75'), Forte (90')
Thompson (30')
Thompson (72')
Collins (86')
Yorwerth (30'), Connolly (65'), Young (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Arsenal19116238172139
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford197393335-224
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276
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