MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 20:24:29| >> :600:775126:775126:
Potential new FA Cup header

FA Cup
Southampton logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round Replays
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Watford logo

Southampton
3 - 0
Watford

Mara (52', 58'), Adams (76')
Smallbone (21'), Obling (51'), Edozie (86'), Armstrong (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Morris (46'), Chakvetadze (49'), Porteous (69'), Sierralta (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Southampton and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Southampton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship

Watford

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Watford 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 3-1 Watford

 Southampton have home advantage in this winner-takes-all clash, and they should be confident of extending their unbeaten run to 24 matches on Tuesday night. Watford have a number of attacking players who could cause damage on the South Coast, but we believe that the Hornets' FA Cup journey ends here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Watford had a probability of 20.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawWatford
57.92% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 21.9% (0.0019999999999989 0) 20.18% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.61% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.3%42.7% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.1%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.52% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)14.47% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.55% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)42.45% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.02% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)34.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)71.72% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 57.92%
    Watford 20.18%
    Draw 21.89%
SouthamptonDrawWatford
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 57.92%
1-1 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.89%
1-2 @ 5.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 20.18%

How you voted: Southampton vs Watford

Southampton
81.5%
Draw
10.2%
Watford
8.3%
157
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 2pm
Fourth Round
Watford
1-1
Southampton
Martins (5')
Chakvetadze (45')
Armstrong (89')
Holgate (4'), Alcaraz (40')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Watford
1-1
Southampton
Healey (90+6')
Porteous (59'), Kone (61'), Hoedt (87')
Adams (56')
Charles (34'), Armstrong (45'), Armstrong (87'), Fraser (90+3')
> Preview
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Watford
0-0
Southampton
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Southampton
1-2
Watford
Elyounoussi (45')
Perraud (48'), Romeu (65'), Bednarek (76')
Camilo Hernandez (14', 34')
Camilo Hernandez (60'), Sissoko (86')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Watford
0-1
Southampton

Pedro (45+2'), Kucka (76')
Adams (20')
Salisu (55'), Ward-Prowse (58')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!