MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 22:36:16| >> :600:1110715:1110715:
Watford logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Vicarage Road
Southampton logo

Watford
1 - 1
Southampton

Martins (5')
Chakvetadze (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Armstrong (89')
Holgate (4'), Alcaraz (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Watford and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Watford
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Southampton
Saturday, January 20 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-3 Southampton

With both teams expected to make changes, there is more of an unpredictability regarding the final outcome. Nevertheless, we cannot back against Southampton against any of the EFL clubs right now, even though they may have to showcase their superior class in the second half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawSouthampton
39.48% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 24.29% (0.0010000000000012 0) 36.23% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 60.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.65% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)42.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)64.75% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)21.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)54.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)23.17% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.94% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)57.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 39.48%
    Southampton 36.23%
    Draw 24.29%
WatfordDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 8.6%
1-0 @ 7.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.88%
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.48%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-1 @ 7.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 36.23%

How you voted: Watford vs Southampton

Watford
55.6%
Draw
16.7%
Southampton
27.8%
18
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Watford
1-1
Southampton
Healey (90+6')
Porteous (59'), Kone (61'), Hoedt (87')
Adams (56')
Charles (34'), Armstrong (45'), Armstrong (87'), Fraser (90+3')
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Southampton
1-2
Watford
Elyounoussi (45')
Perraud (48'), Romeu (65'), Bednarek (76')
Camilo Hernandez (14', 34')
Camilo Hernandez (60'), Sissoko (86')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Watford
0-1
Southampton

Pedro (45+2'), Kucka (76')
Adams (20')
Salisu (55'), Ward-Prowse (58')
Jun 28, 2020 4.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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