Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 15
Aug 21, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Nagyerdei Stadion
Debrecen4 - 1Varda SE
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Debrecen and Kisvarda.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Debrecen 0-5 Rapid Vienna
Thursday, August 17 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 17 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: MTK 0-0 Varda SE
Friday, August 11 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I
Friday, August 11 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Debrecen would win this match.
Result | ||
Debrecen | Draw | Varda SE |
40.82% ( 0.03) | 27.25% ( -0) | 31.93% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.4% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.05% ( 0) | 55.95% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.95% ( 0) | 77.05% ( -0) |
Debrecen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.07% ( 0.02) | 26.93% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.74% ( 0.02) | 62.26% ( -0.02) |
Varda SE Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.6% ( -0.01) | 32.4% ( 0.02) |