Greece

3 - 1

N. Ireland

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 13.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.28%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.92%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.