MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 04:09:13| >> :600:8585426:8585426:
Poland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Narodowy
Faroe Islands national football team

Poland
2 - 0
Faroe Islands

Lewandowski (73' pen., 83')
Krychowiak (22'), Wszolek (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ericsson (38'), Nattestad (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Poland and Faroe Islands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Moldova 3-2 Poland
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Faroe Islands 1-3 Albania
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Poland 4-0 Faroe Islands

As Poland know another stumble against one of Group E's minnows could serve a critical blow to their top-two aspirations, a strong side should take care of business on Thursday. Putting them back on the path towards Germany next summer, victory on home turf should set the Eagles up for an intriguing encounter with Albania later this week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawFaroe Islands
55.77% (0.068999999999996 0.07) 25.22% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 19.01% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 43.86% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.61% (0.013999999999996 0.01)57.39% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.79% (0.011000000000003 0.01)78.21% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4% (0.031999999999996 0.03)20.6% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.86% (0.055 0.05)53.14% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Faroe Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.24% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)44.75% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.26% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)80.74% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Poland 55.76%
    Faroe Islands 19.01%
    Draw 25.22%
PolandDrawFaroe Islands
1-0 @ 14.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.5% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 55.76%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 19.01%

How you voted: Poland vs Faroe Islands

Poland
88.3%
Draw
6.7%
Faroe Islands
5.0%
60
rhs 2.0
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