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J1 League | Gameweek 6
Apr 3, 2024 at 11am UK
Yamaha Stadium

Jubilo Iwata
2 - 0
Albirex Niigata

Germain (75' pen., 79')
Germain (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Komi (7'), Hoshi (44')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Jubilo Iwata and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jubilo Iwata

All competitions
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, March 30 at 6am in J1 League

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, March 30 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jubilo Iwata would win this match.

Result
Jubilo IwataDrawAlbirex Niigata
41.94% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 25.85% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 32.22% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.9% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.77% (0.106 0.11)50.23% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (0.094000000000001 0.09)72.18% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (0.016000000000005 0.02)23.75% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (0.023000000000003 0.02)57.9% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (0.105 0.11)29.31% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (0.13099999999999 0.13)65.28% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Jubilo Iwata 41.93%
    Albirex Niigata 32.22%
    Draw 25.85%
Jubilo IwataDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.23%
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 41.93%
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.54% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 32.22%

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