Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.