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J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 18, 2023 at 6am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002

Urawa
2 - 1
Albirex Niigata

Sakai (35'), Akimoto (45+2')
Koizumi (68')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ota (10')
Gomes (83')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-1 Urawa
Saturday, March 11 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, March 11 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawAlbirex Niigata
49.01% (0.234 0.23) 24.85% (-0.189 -0.19) 26.13% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.35% (0.559 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (0.75 0.75)49.21% (-0.752 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (0.675 0.68)71.27% (-0.675 -0.67)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.89% (0.399 0.4)20.11% (-0.401 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.63% (0.637 0.64)52.36% (-0.638 -0.64)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.77% (0.36799999999999 0.37)33.22% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.16% (0.399 0.4)69.83% (-0.39999999999999 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Urawa Red Diamonds 49%
    Albirex Niigata 26.13%
    Draw 24.84%
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10.71% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.6% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 49%
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.51% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 26.13%

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