Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 5, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Cambuur Stadion
Cambuur0 - 5Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cambuur 1-2 Sittard
Sunday, January 29 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, January 29 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-4 Ajax
Sunday, January 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, January 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
We said: Cambuur 0-3 Ajax
Ajax got back to winning ways with an emphatic 4-1 win in their last match, and they should have no trouble prevailing by a similar scoreline against relegation-threatened Cambuur. With PSV Eindhoven and Feyenoord squaring off this weekend, Heitinga's side have a fantastic opportunity to make up some ground on the teams above them, and we expect them to make the most of it, running out resounding winners. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 68.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 13.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Cambuur win it was 2-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Ajax |
13.56% ( -0.06) | 17.76% ( 0.11) | 68.68% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.28% ( -0.69) | 35.71% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.22% ( -0.76) | 57.78% ( 0.76) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.4% ( -0.54) | 38.59% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.66% ( -0.52) | 75.34% ( 0.51) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.55% ( -0.19) | 9.45% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.26% ( -0.46) | 31.74% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
Cambuur 13.56%
Ajax 68.67%
Draw 17.76%
| Cambuur | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.84% Total : 13.56% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.76% | 0-2 @ 10.14% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 7.98% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 7.6% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 4.71% ( -0)1-4 @ 4.48% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.05)2-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.4% Total : 68.67% |
How you voted: Cambuur vs Ajax
Cambuur
17.2%Draw
6.9%Ajax
75.9%29
