Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 48.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Getafe |
48.85% ( 1.09) | 27.34% ( 0.01) | 23.81% ( -1.11) |
Both teams to score 44.12% ( -1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.81% ( -0.78) | 60.18% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.62% ( -0.6) | 80.38% ( 0.59) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.2% ( 0.17) | 24.8% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.63% ( 0.24) | 59.37% ( -0.24) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.67% ( -1.48) | 41.33% ( 1.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.15% ( -1.33) | 77.85% ( 1.33) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 14.29% ( 0.49) 2-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.21% Total : 23.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |