Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 48.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Getafe |
48.85% ( 1.09) | 27.34% ( 0.01) | 23.81% ( -1.11) |
Both teams to score 44.12% ( -1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.81% ( -0.78) | 60.18% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.62% ( -0.6) | 80.38% ( 0.59) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.2% ( 0.17) | 24.8% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.63% ( 0.24) | 59.37% ( -0.24) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.67% ( -1.48) | 41.33% ( 1.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.15% ( -1.33) | 77.85% ( 1.33) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 14.29% ( 0.49) 2-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.21% Total : 23.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |