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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 14, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Alaves logo

Real Madrid
5 - 0
Alaves

Bellingham (10'), Junior (27', 70'), Valverde (45+1'), Guler (81')
Junior (52')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Duarte (50')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Alaves.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Tuesday's La Liga clash with Alaves.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Granada 0-4 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Alaves

All competitions
Last Game: Alaves 2-2 Girona
Friday, May 10 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 3-1 Alaves

 Alaves will enter this match in excellent form, and we are backing the Basque team to give their supporters a goal to cheer on Tuesday night. Real Madrid are so difficult to stop at the moment, though, and the capital giants should post their 29th league win of the season here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAlaves
69.71% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 18.21% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 12.07% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.27% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.34% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)41.66% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.94% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)64.06% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)10.8% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.17% (-0.035999999999987 -0.04)34.83% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.23% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)44.76% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.25% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)80.74% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 69.7%
    Alaves 12.07%
    Draw 18.21%
Real MadridDrawAlaves
2-0 @ 11.97% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.75% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 8.88% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 69.7%
1-1 @ 8.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 18.21%
0-1 @ 3.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 3.48% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 12.07%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Alaves

Real Madrid
84.5%
Draw
8.9%
Alaves
6.5%
168
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Alaves
0-1
Real Madrid

Duarte (45'), Lopez (83'), Tenaglia (90')
Vazquez (90+2')
Ancelotti (39'), Bellingham (84')
Nacho (54')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Real Madrid
3-0
Alaves
Asensio (63'), Junior (80'), Benzema (90+1' pen.)
Modric (33')

N'Diaye (48')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 1
Alaves
1-4
Real Madrid
Joselu (65' pen.)
Garcia (35')
Benzema (48', 62'), Nacho (56'), Junior (90+2')
Bale (53'), Courtois (64')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 20
Alaves
1-4
Real Madrid
Joselu (59')
Navarro (10'), Garcia (49'), Laguardia (79'), Sainz (85'), Mendez (90+2')
Casemiro (15'), Benzema (41', 70'), Hazard (45+1')
Militao (59'), Mendy (86'), Benzema (88')
> Match Report
Nov 28, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 11
Real Madrid
1-2
Alaves
Casemiro (86')
Casemiro (18'), Kroos (61')
Perez (5' pen.), Joselu (49')
Rioja (67'), Duarte (76'), Mendez (88')
> Match Report
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna176742225-325
10Real BetisBetis176652021-124
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
13Celta Vigo176382528-321
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011
> La Liga Full Table


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