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Athletic Bilbao logo
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Celta Vigo logo
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Girona logo
Las Palmas
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Mallorca logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 33
Apr 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Celta Vigo logo

Alaves
3 - 0
Celta Vigo

Simeone (48'), Guridi (54'), Benavidez (86')
Duarte (19'), Blanco (22'), Sivera (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Perez (21'), Mingueza (85'), Alvarez (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 2-0 Atletico
Sunday, April 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 4-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, April 20 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-1 Celta Vigo

Alaves have only lost six of their 16 home league matches this season, and this will not be an easy game for Celta. The Sky Blues have won five of their last six meetings in Spain's top flight, but we are expecting the points to be shared on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawCelta Vigo
43.34% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 27.8% (0.0030000000000001 0) 28.86% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.53% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.04% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)58.97% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.56% (-0.012 -0.01)79.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (0.0020000000000095 0)26.99% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (0.00099999999999767 0)62.33% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)36.27% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95% (-0.023 -0.02)73.05% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 43.34%
    Celta Vigo 28.86%
    Draw 27.8%
AlavesDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 43.34%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 9.79% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 9.93%
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 28.86%

How you voted: Alaves vs Celta Vigo

Alaves
34.9%
Draw
30.2%
Celta Vigo
34.9%
43
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Celta Vigo
1-1
Alaves
Marin (35' og.)
de la Torre (15'), Aspas (52'), Beltran (52'), Strand Larsen (69'), Perez (75')
de la Torre (68')
Omorodion (73')
Lopez (78'), Rioja (90+5'), Marin (90+2')
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Celta Vigo
4-0
Alaves
Galhardo (6'), Aspas (34', 66'), Navarro (57' og.)
Cervi (42')

N'Diaye (24'), Pina (38'), Mendez (53')
Navarro (64')
Nov 27, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 15
Alaves
1-2
Celta Vigo
Joselu (21')
Duarte (32'), Lejeune (38'), Aguirregabiria (57')
Mina (11'), Aspas (70')
Mendez (50'), Tapia (85')
Apr 4, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 29
Alaves
1-3
Celta Vigo
Lejeune (86')
Laguardia (20'), Lejeune (52'), Navarro (65'), Mendez (85')
Nolito (8'), Aspas (14'), Mina (20')
Murillo (2'), Aidoo (24'), Vazquez (86'), Mallo (90+3')
Murillo (54')
Dec 20, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 14
Celta Vigo
2-0
Alaves
Araujo (55'), Nolito (61')
Battaglia (20'), Pina (35')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna176742225-325
10Real BetisBetis176652021-124
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
13Celta Vigo176382528-321
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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