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La Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Osauna logo

Alaves
0 - 2
Osasuna


Guevara (64'), Omorodion (65'), Garcia (85')
Blanco (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Arnaiz (36'), Budimir (90')
Pena (42'), Cruz (55'), Herrera (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Alaves
Thursday, September 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Atletico
Thursday, September 28 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-2 Osasuna

Osasuna are in need of a strong result to act as a potential springboard, and we are backing the visitors to win here. Arrasate's side are a lot better than they have shown this season, and we are expecting them to shade a close contest this weekend to move onto 10 points for the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 45.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawOsasuna
45.56% (1.151 1.15) 27.66% (-0.149 -0.15) 26.78% (-1.005 -1.01)
Both teams to score 45.67% (-0.247 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)59.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)79.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94% (0.59 0.59)26.06% (-0.592 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89% (0.787 0.79)61.1% (-0.789 -0.79)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.77% (-0.83499999999999 -0.83)38.23% (0.833 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.01% (-0.811 -0.81)74.99% (0.81 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 45.55%
    Osasuna 26.78%
    Draw 27.66%
AlavesDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 13.39% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 9.01% (0.295 0.3)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.197 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 45.55%
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 9.96% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 9.58% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.215 -0.22)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 26.78%

How you voted: Alaves vs Osasuna

Alaves
24.3%
Draw
37.8%
Osasuna
37.8%
74
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 31
Osasuna
1-0
Alaves
Budimir (90+2')
Vidal (9'), Budimir (29'), Torro (45+3')

N'Diaye (15')
Sep 18, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Alaves
0-2
Osasuna

Laguardia (13'), Moya (28'), Duarte (29'), Navarro (70')
Garcia (22'), Torres (29' pen.)
Torres (31'), Torro (73'), Sanchez (82')
Feb 27, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Alaves
0-1
Osasuna

Pina (44'), Laguardia (68'), Perez (82')
Barja (77')
Garcia (30'), Vidal (40'), Garcia (65'), Cruz (73')
Dec 31, 2020 3.15pm
Gameweek 16
Osasuna
1-1
Alaves
Torres (68')
Calleri (41'), Herrera (64'), Sanjurjo (73')
Ruben (8')
Perez (75' pen.)
Pina (37'), Deyverson (40'), Lejeune (55'), Jota (82')
Jun 24, 2020 6.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal198653431330
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad198471713428
8GironaGirona198472725228
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196762123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17Espanyol2054111932-1319
18AlavesAlaves1945102131-1017
19Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515
20Valencia1927101829-1113


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