Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 45.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Osasuna |
45.56% ( 1.15) | 27.66% ( -0.15) | 26.78% ( -1.01) |
Both teams to score 45.67% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.56% ( 0.01) | 59.43% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.19% ( 0.01) | 79.8% ( -0.01) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.94% ( 0.59) | 26.06% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.89% ( 0.79) | 61.1% ( -0.79) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.77% ( -0.83) | 38.23% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.01% ( -0.81) | 74.99% ( 0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.04% Total : 45.55% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.6% Total : 26.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |