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Athletic Bilbao logo
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Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
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Real Valladolid logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Alaves logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 1
Alaves

Marin (35' og.)
de la Torre (15'), Aspas (52'), Beltran (52'), Strand Larsen (69'), Perez (75')
de la Torre (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Omorodion (73')
Lopez (78'), Rioja (90+5'), Marin (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 3-2 Celta Vigo
Saturday, September 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Friday, September 22 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 2-1 Alaves

Thursday's encounter pits a team that has struggled on home turf against a side that has lost their last nine La Liga away matches. While hopes of a victory may be slim in both camps, recent history suggests that Celta Vigo may have the edge after winning their previous five meetings with Alaves, which is why we think that the hosts may sneak over the line to claim three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 42.28%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 28.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAlaves
42.28% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04) 29.54% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 28.18% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 41.68% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.15% (-0.176 -0.18)64.85% (0.178 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.21% (-0.123 -0.12)83.79% (0.124 0.12)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58% (-0.11099999999999 -0.11)30.42% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.38% (-0.133 -0.13)66.62% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.91% (-0.113 -0.11)40.09% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.27% (-0.103 -0.1)76.73% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 42.28%
    Alaves 28.17%
    Draw 29.53%
Celta VigoDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 14.51% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 42.28%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 12.19% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.53%
0-1 @ 11.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 28.17%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Alaves

Celta Vigo
Draw
Alaves
Celta Vigo
76.3%
Draw
21.3%
Alaves
2.5%
80
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Celta Vigo
4-0
Alaves
Galhardo (6'), Aspas (34', 66'), Navarro (57' og.)
Cervi (42')

N'Diaye (24'), Pina (38'), Mendez (53')
Navarro (64')
Nov 27, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 15
Alaves
1-2
Celta Vigo
Joselu (21')
Duarte (32'), Lejeune (38'), Aguirregabiria (57')
Mina (11'), Aspas (70')
Mendez (50'), Tapia (85')
Apr 4, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 29
Alaves
1-3
Celta Vigo
Lejeune (86')
Laguardia (20'), Lejeune (52'), Navarro (65'), Mendez (85')
Nolito (8'), Aspas (14'), Mina (20')
Murillo (2'), Aidoo (24'), Vazquez (86'), Mallo (90+3')
Murillo (54')
Dec 20, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 14
Celta Vigo
2-0
Alaves
Araujo (55'), Nolito (61')
Battaglia (20'), Pina (35')
Jun 21, 2020 1pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona30214583295467
2Real Madrid30196563313263
3Atletico MadridAtletico30179449242560
4Athletic Bilbao301412446242254
5Villarreal29139751391248
6Real BetisBetis3013984137448
7Celta Vigo30127114443143
8Real Sociedad30125133032-241
9Rayo Vallecano301010103335-240
10Mallorca30117122937-840
11Getafe30109113025539
12Sevilla3099123441-736
13GironaGirona3097143746-934
14Osasuna2971393342-934
15Valencia30810123447-1334
16Espanyol2988133140-932
17AlavesAlaves3079143344-1130
18Leganes2969142846-1827
19Las PalmasLas Palmas3068163451-1726
20Real ValladolidValladolid3044221969-5016


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