Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
35.02% ( -0.15) | 28.03% ( -0.07) | 36.95% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 47.68% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.62% ( 0.25) | 58.38% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.01% ( 0.2) | 78.99% ( -0.19) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.44% ( 0.03) | 31.56% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.04% ( 0.03) | 67.96% ( -0.03) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.67% ( 0.26) | 30.33% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.48% ( 0.31) | 66.52% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.02% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 36.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |