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La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Athletic Bilbao logo

Osasuna
0 - 2
Athletic Bilbao


Garcia (59')
Avila (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Williams (11'), Guruzeta (20')
Lekue (38'), Sancet (47'), Ruiz de Galarreta (71'), Simon (90+4')
Sancet (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-2 Osasuna
Sunday, August 13 at 4pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-0 Athletic Bilbao

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and there is not an awful lot between the two teams in terms of quality. It would certainly not be a shock to see an away victory here or indeed a draw, but we just have a feeling that Osasuna will use home advantage to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawAthletic Bilbao
35.02% (-0.147 -0.15) 28.03% (-0.07 -0.07) 36.95% (0.219 0.22)
Both teams to score 47.68% (0.196 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.62% (0.25 0.25)58.38% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.01% (0.195 0.2)78.99% (-0.193 -0.19)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)31.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.04% (0.031999999999996 0.03)67.96% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67% (0.259 0.26)30.33% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.48% (0.308 0.31)66.52% (-0.30499999999999 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 35.02%
    Athletic Bilbao 36.95%
    Draw 28.03%
OsasunaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.04% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.92%
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 35.02%
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.57% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 11.41% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.86% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.81% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 36.95%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao

Osasuna
58.6%
Draw
24.1%
Athletic Bilbao
17.2%
58
Head to Head
May 25, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 36
Osasuna
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Budimir (50'), Torro (77')
Torro (31'), Budimir (66'), Ibanez (84')

de Marcos (15'), Berenguer (74'), Vivian (76')
Apr 4, 2023 8.10pm
Mar 1, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Osasuna
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Jan 9, 2023 8pm
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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