La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Sevilla5 - 1Almeria
We said: Sevilla 1-0 Almeria
Sevilla are yet to really get going this season, but they will bring a three-game unbeaten run into this contest, including a win over Las Palmas in their last home league match. Almeria are capable of picking up a positive result here, but we are just backing a narrow Sevilla win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 22.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Almeria |
54.46% ( -3.38) | 23.34% ( 1.12) | 22.21% ( 2.27) |
| Both teams to score 53.84% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
