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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Almeria

Sevilla
5 - 1
Almeria

En-Nesyri (7'), Lukebakio (8'), Suso (38'), Lamela (51'), Salas (90+2')
Navas (70'), Suso (83'), Lamela (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Suarez Charris (71' pen.)
Fernandes (77'), Baba (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 0-0 Sevilla
Saturday, September 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Almeria 2-2 Valencia
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-0 Almeria

 Sevilla are yet to really get going this season, but they will bring a three-game unbeaten run into this contest, including a win over Las Palmas in their last home league match. Almeria are capable of picking up a positive result here, but we are just backing a narrow Sevilla win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 22.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAlmeria
54.46% (-3.379 -3.38) 23.34% (1.115 1.12) 22.21% (2.271 2.27)
Both teams to score 53.84% (-0.264 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.51% (-1.987 -1.99)46.49% (1.993 1.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.24% (-1.894 -1.89)68.77% (1.901 1.9)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (-1.852 -1.85)16.97% (1.859 1.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.94% (-3.395 -3.4)47.06% (3.402 3.4)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.84% (1.11 1.11)35.16% (-1.102 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09% (1.141 1.14)71.91% (-1.133 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 54.45%
    Almeria 22.21%
    Draw 23.34%
SevillaDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.398 -0.4)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.451 -0.45)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.614 -0.61)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.381 -0.38)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.45 -0.45)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.153 -0.15)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.204 -0.2)
Other @ 3%
Total : 54.45%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.56 0.56)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.487 0.49)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.094 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.34%
0-1 @ 6.24% (0.678 0.68)
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.454 0.45)
0-2 @ 3.26% (0.44 0.44)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.213 0.21)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.085 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.182 0.18)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 22.21%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Almeria

Sevilla
70.0%
Draw
27.1%
Almeria
2.9%
70
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 25
Sevilla
2-1
Almeria
Ocampos (45+2' pen.), Lamela (73')
Akieme (2')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 3
Almeria
2-1
Sevilla
Ramazani (42'), Sadiq (55')
Eguaras (33'), Fernandes (71'), de la Hoz (78'), Baptistao (84'), Samu (90+1')
Torres (30')
Lamela (12'), Rekik (15'), Mir (45'), Navas (47'), Angel Carmona (70'), Isco (78'), Delaney (80'), Telles (83')
> Preview
Feb 2, 2021 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Almeria
0-1
Sevilla

Corpas (69'), Chumi (81')
Ocampos (67')
Lopetegui (90')
> Preview
May 17, 2015 6pm
Sevilla
2-1
Almeria
Iborra (65', 71')
Bifouma (30')
Corona (60'), Ruben (68'), Partey (73'), Dubarbier (83')
Trujillo (75')
> Match Report
Jan 11, 2015 11am
Almeria
0-2
Sevilla

Partey (20')
Iborra (58'), Coke (63')
Vidal (16')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010
> La Liga Full Table


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