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La Liga
Sevilla logo
La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Cadiz logo

Sevilla
1 - 0
Cadiz

Rakitic (89' pen.)
Lamela (33'), Sampaoli (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Espino (34'), Sobrino (45'), Alejo (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Sevilla
Tuesday, January 17 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Cadiz

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Elche
Monday, January 16 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Cadiz

 This is such a difficult match to call for a number of reasons. On paper, Sevilla are the favourites, but they have really struggled this season, and their home form has been so disappointing. Cadiz are also not losing at the moment, but we just have a feeling that Sevilla could navigate their way to a huge three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 18.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sevilla.

Result
SevillaDrawCadiz
57.9% (0.077000000000005 0.08) 23.72% (0.106 0.11) 18.38% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 46.92% (-0.62 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25% (-0.66 -0.66)52.75% (0.656 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.62% (-0.569 -0.57)74.38% (0.56400000000001 0.56)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (-0.218 -0.22)18% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.13% (-0.37 -0.37)48.86% (0.365 0.37)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.22% (-0.605 -0.6)42.78% (0.6 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.89% (-0.517 -0.52)79.1% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 57.9%
    Cadiz 18.38%
    Draw 23.71%
SevillaDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 13.2% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 11.32% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.47% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.78% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 57.9%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.7% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.71%
0-1 @ 6.54% (0.062 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 18.38%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Cadiz

Sevilla
75.7%
Draw
10.8%
Cadiz
13.5%
74
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2022 8pm
Sevilla
1-1
Cadiz
En-Nesyri (7')
Papu (61'), Navas (78')
Perez (66')
Jonsson (17'), Espino (90')
Jan 3, 2022 8.15pm
Cadiz
0-1
Sevilla
Ocampos (58')
Augustinsson (79')
Jan 23, 2021 3.15pm
Sevilla
3-0
Cadiz
En-Nesyri (35', 39', 62')
Gudelj (90+4')

Alcala (37'), Perea (45'), Salvi (45+1'), Cala (81')
Sep 27, 2020 5.30pm
Cadiz
1-3
Sevilla
Sanchez Ponce (48')
Cala (78'), Fernandez (90'), Mauro (90+1'), Fali (90+6'), Fali (90+6')
De Jong (65'), El Haddadi (90'), Rakitic (90+4')
Gudelj (58'), Suso (67')
Jan 11, 2018 6.30pm
Fifth Round
Sevilla
2-1
Cadiz
Ben Yedder (31'), Correa (54')
Garcia (86')
Olivan (26'), Gonzalez (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815
> La Liga Full Table


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