La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK
Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
Getafe2 - 2Athletic Bilbao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Getafe
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Atletico
Saturday, October 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, October 15 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Getafe 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
On paper, Athletic are the favourites here, but it is difficult to ignore their recent struggles against Getafe when picking a result. The Basque outfit will be determined to return to winning ways, but we are backing Getafe to secure a share of the spoils on Tuesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.96%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
17.92% ( 0.18) | 24.97% ( 0.18) | 57.11% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 42.8% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.16% ( -0.41) | 57.84% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.43% ( -0.32) | 78.57% ( 0.32) |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.66% ( -0.02) | 46.33% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.02% ( -0.02) | 81.98% ( 0.02) |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( -0.3) | 20.24% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.42% ( -0.49) | 52.58% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
Getafe 17.92%
Athletic Bilbao 57.1%
Draw 24.96%
| Getafe | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.45% Total : 17.92% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 14.98% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 11.96% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 6.37% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.3% Total : 57.1% |
How you voted: Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao
Getafe
19.7%Draw
21.7%Athletic Bilbao
58.6%198
Form Guide
