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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK
Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
Athletic Bilbao logo

Getafe
2 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Alena (27'), El Haddadi (76')
Iglesias (14'), Suarez (19'), Duarte (25'), Alena (31'), Mata (45'), Algobia (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Williams (2'), Garcia (62')
Sancet (18'), Herrera (64'), Zarraga (80'), Martinez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Getafe and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Getafe

All competitions
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Getafe
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in La Liga

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Atletico
Saturday, October 15 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Getafe 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

 On paper, Athletic are the favourites here, but it is difficult to ignore their recent struggles against Getafe when picking a result. The Basque outfit will be determined to return to winning ways, but we are backing Getafe to secure a share of the spoils on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.96%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GetafeDrawAthletic Bilbao
17.92% (0.177 0.18) 24.97% (0.184 0.18) 57.11% (-0.364 -0.36)
Both teams to score 42.8% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.16% (-0.408 -0.41)57.84% (0.406 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.43% (-0.323 -0.32)78.57% (0.321 0.32)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.66% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)46.33% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.02% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)81.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.304 -0.3)20.24% (0.303 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.42% (-0.486 -0.49)52.58% (0.485 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Getafe 17.92%
    Athletic Bilbao 57.1%
    Draw 24.96%
GetafeDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.107 0.11)
2-1 @ 4.43% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.78% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.14% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 17.92%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.38% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 14.98% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 11.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.37% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.55% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 57.1%

How you voted: Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao

Getafe
19.7%
Draw
21.7%
Athletic Bilbao
58.6%
198
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Getafe
Berchiche (29')
Vesga (79'), de Marcos (88'), Petxarroman (90+3'), Alvarez (90+6')
Unal (3')
Mitrovic (25'), Unal (32'), Dakonam (86'), Mata (90+3'), Suarez (90+7')
Cuenca (65'), Jankto (90')
Dec 6, 2021 8pm
Getafe
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Dakonam (15'), Mata (90+5')
Flores (90+5')

Morcillo (90+4')
Jan 25, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
5-1
Getafe
Garcia (12', 61'), Alvarez (50'), Berenguer (75'), De Marcos (82')
Nunez (9'), Garcia (17'), Garcia (40'), Vencedor (57')
Cucurella (1')
Maksimovic (8'), Mata (50'), Etxeita (57'), Dakonam (79')
Nov 29, 2020 3.15pm
Getafe
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Rodriguez (75')
Camilo Hernandez (61'), Cabaco (71'), Bordalas (86')
Villalibre (9')
Capa (14'), Vesga (48'), Morcillo (88'), Martinez (88')
Feb 2, 2020 3pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Getafe

Berchiche (63'), Martinez (86')
Suarez (36'), Mata (50' pen.)
Deyverson (12'), Arambarri (40'), Mata (63'), Suarez (67'), Nyom (70')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal198653431330
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad198471713428
8GironaGirona198472725228
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196762123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17AlavesAlaves1945102131-1017
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Real ValladolidValladolid1943121337-2415
20Valencia1927101829-1113
> La Liga Full Table


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