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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK
Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
Athletic Bilbao logo

Getafe
2 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Alena (27'), El Haddadi (76')
Iglesias (14'), Suarez (19'), Duarte (25'), Alena (31'), Mata (45'), Algobia (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Williams (2'), Garcia (62')
Sancet (18'), Herrera (64'), Zarraga (80'), Martinez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Getafe and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Getafe
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Atletico
Saturday, October 15 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Getafe 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

On paper, Athletic are the favourites here, but it is difficult to ignore their recent struggles against Getafe when picking a result. The Basque outfit will be determined to return to winning ways, but we are backing Getafe to secure a share of the spoils on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.96%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GetafeDrawAthletic Bilbao
17.92% (0.177 0.18) 24.97% (0.184 0.18) 57.11% (-0.364 -0.36)
Both teams to score 42.8% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.16% (-0.408 -0.41)57.84% (0.406 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.43% (-0.323 -0.32)78.57% (0.321 0.32)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.66% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)46.33% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.02% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)81.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.304 -0.3)20.24% (0.303 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.42% (-0.486 -0.49)52.58% (0.485 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Getafe 17.92%
    Athletic Bilbao 57.1%
    Draw 24.96%
GetafeDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.107 0.11)
2-1 @ 4.43% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.78% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.14% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 17.92%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.38% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 14.98% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 11.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.37% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.55% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 57.1%

How you voted: Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao

Getafe
19.7%
Draw
21.7%
Athletic Bilbao
58.6%
198
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Getafe
Berchiche (29')
Vesga (79'), de Marcos (88'), Petxarroman (90+3'), Alvarez (90+6')
Unal (3')
Mitrovic (25'), Unal (32'), Dakonam (86'), Mata (90+3'), Suarez (90+7')
Cuenca (65'), Jankto (90')
Dec 6, 2021 8pm
Getafe
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Dakonam (15'), Mata (90+5')
Flores (90+5')

Morcillo (90+4')
Jan 25, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
5-1
Getafe
Garcia (12', 61'), Alvarez (50'), Berenguer (75'), De Marcos (82')
Nunez (9'), Garcia (17'), Garcia (40'), Vencedor (57')
Cucurella (1')
Maksimovic (8'), Mata (50'), Etxeita (57'), Dakonam (79')
Nov 29, 2020 3.15pm
Feb 2, 2020 3pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Getafe

Berchiche (63'), Martinez (86')
Suarez (36'), Mata (50' pen.)
Deyverson (12'), Arambarri (40'), Mata (63'), Suarez (67'), Nyom (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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