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La Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Athletic Bilbao logo

Sevilla
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Torres (4')
Isco (38'), Telles (39'), Angel Carmona (58'), Acuna (72'), Sampaoli (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vesga (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 1-4 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 4-0 Almeria
Friday, September 30 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-3 Athletic Bilbao

A difficult game to predict, given the elements of underperformance in a talented Sevilla side, but we are siding with the form books here, and forecasting a fifth-straight home defeat for the Andalusian side. One of the hottest attacks in the division against one of the shakiest defences, we think Valverde's men should be able to outgun their struggling hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
32.51% (0.090000000000003 0.09) 26.78% (0.07 0.07) 40.71% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 51.02% (-0.191 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.03% (-0.256 -0.26)53.97% (0.257 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.58% (-0.216 -0.22)75.42% (0.21600000000001 0.22)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)30.99% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)67.29% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93% (-0.202 -0.2)26.07% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.88% (-0.273 -0.27)61.12% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 32.51%
    Athletic Bilbao 40.71%
    Draw 26.78%
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.51%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.08% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 10.86% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 40.71%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao

Sevilla
21.3%
Draw
14.0%
Athletic Bilbao
64.7%
136
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 9pm
Sevilla
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Mir (68')
Jordan (25'), Acuna (76'), Papu (90+5')

Garcia (38'), Berchiche (57'), Vivian (64')
Dec 11, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Sevilla

Lekue (52'), Garcia (62'), Vencedor (65'), Martinez (90+3')
Delaney (38')
Fernando (73'), Rekik (88'), Kounde (90')
May 3, 2021 8pm
Oct 31, 2020 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Sevilla
Muniain (76'), Sancet (86')
Garcia (30'), Martinez (54'), Williams (62'), Lopez (89'), Berchiche (90+2')
En-Nesyri (9')
Fernando (26'), Kounde (63'), Acuna (69'), Navas (88'), Carlos (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal198653431330
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad198471713428
8GironaGirona198472725228
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196762123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17AlavesAlaves1945102131-1017
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Real ValladolidValladolid1943121337-2415
20Valencia1927101829-1113


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