Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
32.51% ( 0.09) | 26.78% ( 0.07) | 40.71% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 51.02% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.03% ( -0.26) | 53.97% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.58% ( -0.22) | 75.42% ( 0.22) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.01% ( -0.07) | 30.99% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.71% ( -0.08) | 67.29% ( 0.08) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% ( -0.2) | 26.07% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.88% ( -0.27) | 61.12% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.51% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 15 |
20 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |