Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
42.65% ( 0.07) | 28.35% ( 0) | 29.01% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 45.13% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.22% ( -0.03) | 60.77% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.17% ( -0.02) | 80.82% ( 0.02) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.79% ( 0.02) | 28.21% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.09% ( 0.03) | 63.91% ( -0.03) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.86% ( -0.07) | 37.13% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.07% ( -0.07) | 73.92% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 13.25% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 42.64% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.34% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |