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La Liga
Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Real Betis logo

Atletico
2 - 1
Betis

Silva (8' og.), Morata (44')
De Paul (18')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Carvalho (62')
Pezzella (67'), Rodriguez (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Atletico
Thursday, February 29 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Real Betis

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Betis 3-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, February 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Betis

 Atletico's recent form is worrying, and their top-four position in the table is under threat from Athletic, demonstrating the importance of picking up a positive result here. Real Betis are capable of making it a tough afternoon for Atletico, but the visitors will be missing so many important players through injury, and we are therefore backing the hosts to edge out a much-needed three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawReal Betis
55.15% (1.208 1.21) 23.42% (-0.331 -0.33) 21.43% (-0.878 -0.88)
Both teams to score 52.54% (-0.149 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3% (0.38800000000001 0.39)47.69% (-0.389 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11% (0.356 0.36)69.89% (-0.358 -0.36)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.85% (0.583 0.58)17.15% (-0.584 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.61% (1.02 1.02)47.39% (-1.02 -1.02)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.42% (-0.631 -0.63)36.58% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.63% (-0.642 -0.64)73.37% (0.64100000000001 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 55.15%
    Real Betis 21.43%
    Draw 23.41%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 11.06% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.214 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.138 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.73% (0.232 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.108 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.148 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 55.15%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.27% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 21.43%

How you voted: Atletico vs Betis

Atletico Madrid
84.1%
Draw
12.2%
Real Betis
3.7%
82
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Betis
0-0
Atletico
Ruibal (37'), Isco (51')
Savic (43'), Simeone (54+54')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Atletico
1-0
Betis
Correa (86')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 11
Betis
1-2
Atletico
Fekir (84')
Griezmann (54', 71')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Betis
1-3
Atletico
Tello (45+5')
Iglesias (23'), Akouokou (40'), Bartra (50'), Tello (71'), Ruibal (87')
Felix (2', 61'), Lemar (80')
Simeone (27'), Herrera (34'), Carrasco (63'), Llorente (87')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Atletico
3-0
Betis
Carrasco (26'), Pezzella (63' og.), Felix (80')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815
> La Liga Full Table


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