La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Betis
Atletico's recent form is worrying, and their top-four position in the table is under threat from Athletic, demonstrating the importance of picking up a positive result here. Real Betis are capable of making it a tough afternoon for Atletico, but the visitors will be missing so many important players through injury, and we are therefore backing the hosts to edge out a much-needed three points.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.15% . A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 21.43% .
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.75%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%) , while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (6.31%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result Atletico Madrid Draw Real Betis 55.15% ( 1.21) 23.42% ( -0.33) 21.43% ( -0.88)
Both teams to score 52.54% ( -0.15)
52.3% ( 0.39) 47.69% ( -0.39)
30.11% ( 0.36) 69.89% ( -0.36)
82.85% ( 0.58) 17.15% ( -0.58)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 52.61% ( 1.02) 47.39% ( -1.02)
63.42% ( -0.63) 36.58% ( 0.63)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.63% ( -0.64) 73.37% ( 0.64)
Atletico Madrid 55.15%
Real Betis 21.43%
Draw 23.41%
Atletico Madrid Draw Real Betis 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.8% Total : 55.15% 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.41% 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.76% Total : 21.43%
How you voted: Atletico vs Betis
Atletico Madrid
Draw
Real Betis
82
rhs 2.0
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