La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Atletico2 - 1Betis
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Atletico
Thursday, February 29 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Thursday, February 29 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Betis 3-1 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, February 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, February 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Betis
Atletico's recent form is worrying, and their top-four position in the table is under threat from Athletic, demonstrating the importance of picking up a positive result here. Real Betis are capable of making it a tough afternoon for Atletico, but the visitors will be missing so many important players through injury, and we are therefore backing the hosts to edge out a much-needed three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Betis |
55.15% ( 1.21) | 23.42% ( -0.33) | 21.43% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 52.54% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
