Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Almeria has a probability of 28.89% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Almeria win is 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.01%).
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
28.89% ( -0.12) | 25.31% ( 0) | 45.8% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 54% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.65% ( -0.08) | 49.35% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.6% ( -0.07) | 71.4% ( 0.07) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.83% ( -0.12) | 31.17% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.49% ( -0.15) | 67.51% ( 0.15) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.45% ( 0.02) | 21.55% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.38% ( 0.03) | 54.62% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.89% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 45.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |