La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Madrid1 - 1Atletico
Reaction
Real Madrid suffer Vinicius Junior injury blow ahead of Atletico Madrid draw
Real Madrid forward Vinicius Junior pulls up injured in the warm-up prior to Sunday's 1-1 draw against city rivals Atletico Madrid.
Feb 5, 00:18
Carlo Ancelotti confirms nature of Vinicius Junior injury
Real Madrid head coach Carlo Ancelotti confirms that a cervical issue was the reason for Vinicius Junior's withdrawal from the starting side against Atletico Madrid.
Feb 5, 21:15
The Match
Match Report
Marcos Llorente nets a 93rd-minute leveller as Atletico Madrid claim a point in a 1-1 draw with Real Madrid in Sunday's Madrid derby.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's Madrid derby with Atletico Madrid.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Las Palmas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Getafe 0-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, February 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Thursday, February 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, January 31 at 8pm in La Liga
Wednesday, January 31 at 8pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
62.27% ( 5.12) | 19.77% ( -0.5) | 17.96% ( -4.62) |
| Both teams to score 59.09% ( -6.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
