Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.74%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 9.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.31%) and 3-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Getafe |
71.74% ( 0.93) | 18.99% ( -0.51) | 9.27% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 37.28% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.57% ( 0.79) | 52.43% ( -0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.89% ( 0.68) | 74.11% ( -0.68) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.65% ( 0.52) | 13.34% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.77% ( 1.05) | 40.22% ( -1.05) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.02% ( -0.42) | 56.97% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.97% ( -0.24) | 89.02% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Getafe |
2-0 @ 15.42% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 15.31% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.09% Total : 71.73% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.33% Total : 18.99% | 0-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.37% Total : 9.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |