Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 14.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
66.19% ( -0.02) | 19.8% ( 0.36) | 14.01% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 49.57% ( -2.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.78% ( -2.36) | 44.22% ( 2.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.4% ( -2.34) | 66.6% ( 2.34) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.51% ( -0.7) | 12.49% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.54% ( -1.48) | 38.46% ( 1.48) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.64% ( -1.96) | 43.36% ( 1.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.4% ( -1.69) | 79.59% ( 1.69) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
2-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.56) 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.83) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.26) 5-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.2% Total : 66.18% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.88% Total : 19.8% | 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.43% Total : 14.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |