Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
26.33% ( 0.2) | 26.58% ( -0.03) | 47.1% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 48.34% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.16% ( 0.25) | 55.84% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.04% ( 0.2) | 76.96% ( -0.2) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.36% ( 0.31) | 36.64% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.57% ( 0.31) | 73.43% ( -0.31) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.29% ( 0.03) | 23.71% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.16% ( 0.05) | 57.84% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 26.33% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |