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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Iberostar Estadi
Atletico Madrid logo

Mallorca
0 - 1
Atletico


Raillo (71'), Muriqi (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mallorca 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Atletico's away form has been so disappointing this season, and Mallorca do not give up many goals in front of their own fans, so we are struggling to back an away success with any real conviction. Mallorca are fighting for points to stay out of the bottom three, meanwhile, and we can see a low-scoring draw occurring this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
MallorcaDrawAtletico Madrid
26.33% (0.201 0.2) 26.58% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 47.1% (-0.165 -0.16)
Both teams to score 48.34% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.16% (0.252 0.25)55.84% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.04% (0.204 0.2)76.96% (-0.203 -0.2)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36% (0.308 0.31)36.64% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57% (0.306 0.31)73.43% (-0.30500000000001 -0.31)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (0.033000000000001 0.03)23.71% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.16% (0.045999999999999 0.05)57.84% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 26.33%
    Atletico Madrid 47.1%
    Draw 26.57%
MallorcaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.3% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.38% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.11% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 26.33%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.69% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 12.5% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.03% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 9% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 47.1%

How you voted: Mallorca vs Atletico

Mallorca
20.4%
Draw
21.4%
Atletico Madrid
58.2%
98
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 8pm
Apr 26, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Atletico
3-1
Mallorca
De Paul (45+2'), Morata (47'), Carrasco (77')
Nastasic (20')
Nov 9, 2022 8.30pm
Apr 9, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 31
Mallorca
1-0
Atletico
Muriqi (68' pen.)
Rodriguez (44')

Vrsaljko (63'), Mandava (66'), Savic (80'), Kondogbia (84')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Atletico
1-2
Mallorca
Cunha (68')
Felipe (79'), Lodi (84')
Russo (80'), Kubo (90+1')
Ruiz de Galarreta (14'), Maffeo (43'), Baba (66'), Valjent (84'), Reina (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna176742225-325
10Real BetisBetis176652021-124
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
13Celta Vigo176382528-321
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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