Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Atletico Madrid has a probability of 33.43% and a draw has a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win is 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.19%).
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
43.5% ( 0.21) | 23.06% ( 0.03) | 33.43% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 64.17% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.99% ( -0.24) | 37.01% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.8% ( -0.26) | 59.2% ( 0.26) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.49% ( -0.01) | 17.51% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.98% ( -0.02) | 48.01% ( 0.02) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.79% ( -0.24) | 22.21% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.37% ( -0.37) | 55.62% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.04% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 33.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |