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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Las Palmas

Atletico
2 - 0
Las Palmas

Simeone (37'), Sorloth (84')
Lenglet (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rozada (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Vic 0-2 Atletico
Thursday, October 31 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Las Palmas

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Ontinena 0-7 Las Palmas
Thursday, October 31 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Las Palmas

 Las Palmas will enter this match full of confidence, and Atletico are yet to find their best form this season; we are expecting a close match on Sunday, with Las Palmas having a goal in them against a strong Atletico defence, but the home side should have enough quality to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 19.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawLas Palmas
59.4% (-0.379 -0.38) 21.24% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 19.36% (0.335 0.34)
Both teams to score 56.46% (0.454 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.09% (0.313 0.31)40.9% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.7% (0.318 0.32)63.29% (-0.318 -0.32)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57% (-0.012 -0.01)13.43% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.6% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)40.39% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (0.53399999999999 0.53)34.78% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (0.559 0.56)71.51% (-0.55799999999999 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 59.4%
    Las Palmas 19.36%
    Draw 21.24%
Atletico MadridDrawLas Palmas
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.41% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.3% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.16% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 59.4%
1-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.072 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.67% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.24%
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.075 0.08)
0-1 @ 4.93% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.61% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 19.36%

How you voted: Atletico vs Las Palmas

Atletico Madrid
86.7%
Draw
9.7%
Las Palmas
3.5%
113
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 25
Atletico
5-0
Las Palmas
Llorente (15', 20'), Correa (47', 62' pen.), Depay (87')
Molina (28'), Niguez (33')

Perrone (4'), El Haddadi (61')
> Preview
Nov 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Las Palmas
2-1
Atletico
Rodriguez (51'), Benito (75')
Morata (83')
De Paul (62'), Gimenez (90+3'), Savic (90+9')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2018 3.15pm
Atletico
3-0
Las Palmas
Griezmann (61'), Torres (73'), Partey (88')
Niguez (82')

Navarro (67'), Galvez (85')
> Match Report
Aug 26, 2017 9.15pm
Las Palmas
1-5
Atletico
Calleri (58')
Hernan (14'), Bigas (24'), Gonzalez (39'), Viera (62')
Correa (3'), Carrasco (5'), Koke (62', 75'), Partey (88')
Vietto (39')
> Match Report
Apr 29, 2017 5.30pm
Las Palmas
0-5
Atletico

Boateng (6'), Jese (32'), Halilovic (56')
Boateng (65')
Gameiro (2', 18'), Niguez (17'), Partey (72'), Torres (91')
Niguez (14'), Savic (31'), Gaitan (61'), Partey (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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