La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Atletico2 - 0Las Palmas
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Las Palmas
Las Palmas will enter this match full of confidence, and Atletico are yet to find their best form this season; we are expecting a close match on Sunday, with Las Palmas having a goal in them against a strong Atletico defence, but the home side should have enough quality to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Las Palmas |
59.4% ( -0.38) | 21.24% ( 0.04) | 19.36% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
