Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw has a probability of 25.7% and a win for Real Valladolid has a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Real Valladolid win it is 1-0 (7.89%).
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
22.91% ( -0.44) | 25.69% ( -0.27) | 51.41% ( 0.71) |
Both teams to score 47.64% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.87% ( 0.61) | 55.13% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.62% ( 0.5) | 76.38% ( -0.5) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.67% ( -0.08) | 39.33% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.97% ( -0.08) | 76.04% ( 0.08) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.52% ( 0.56) | 21.49% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.47% ( 0.85) | 54.53% ( -0.85) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.43% Total : 22.91% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 9.99% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.16% Total : 51.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Real Madrid | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 30 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
4 | Villarreal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Osasuna | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 22 |
7 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sevilla | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 16 |
14 | Leganes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |