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La Liga
Real Valladolid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
Atletico Madrid logo

Valladolid
0 - 5
Atletico


Perez (32')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Lenglet (26'), Alvarez (35'), De Paul (37'), Griezmann (52'), Sorloth (90+2')
Galan (41'), Simeone (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 2-0 Valladolid
Friday, November 22 at 8pm in La Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 0-6 Atletico
Tuesday, November 26 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Real Valladolid 0-2 Atletico Madrid

 Atletico have only won three of their seven away La Liga matches this season, but Real Valladolid have been victorious in just one of their seven games on home soil, and we are struggling to see anything other than a comfortable away success in this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 21.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawAtletico Madrid
21.09% (-0.117 -0.12) 25.5% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 53.4% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 45.97% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.82% (0.041000000000004 0.04)56.17% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.77% (0.033000000000001 0.03)77.23% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.25% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)41.75% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.78% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)78.21% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (0.079999999999998 0.08)21.07% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (0.128 0.13)53.89% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 21.09%
    Atletico Madrid 53.38%
    Draw 25.5%
Real ValladolidDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.69% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-1 @ 5.23% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 21.09%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 13.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.54% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.84% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.16% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 53.38%

How you voted: Valladolid vs Atletico

Real Valladolid
11.1%
Draw
8.3%
Atletico Madrid
80.6%
108
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 32
Valladolid
2-5
Atletico
Larin (42' pen.), Escudero (74')
Molina (20'), Gimenez (24'), Morata (38'), Fernandez (86' og.), Depay (90+3')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Atletico
3-0
Valladolid
Morata (18'), Griezmann (23'), Hermoso (28')
> Preview
May 22, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 38
Valladolid
1-2
Atletico
Plano (18')
Maranhao (55'), El Yamiq (70'), Michel (74'), Fede (78')
Correa (57'), Suarez (67')
Felix (78'), Felipe (83'), Lodi (87')
> Preview
Dec 5, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Atletico
2-0
Valladolid
Lemar (56'), Llorente (72')
Savic (24'), Vitolo (40'), Suarez (49'), Herrera (85')

Sanchez Moreno (51'), Mesa (81')
> Preview
Jun 20, 2020 9pm
Gameweek 30
Atletico
1-0
Valladolid
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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